Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AJA
4 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
AJA
38%
24%
39%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FOR
0 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
42%
24%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
GAL
51%
23%
27%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 1
KVM
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
AJA
38%
24%
39%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
KVK
1 - 2
UNI
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 1
STR
50%
24%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
GLA
2 - 1
UNI
29%
23%
48%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |