Ajax vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
NAC
1 - 3
AJA
27%
22%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
AJA
1 - 3
FEY
53%
21%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
30%
21%
49%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
AJA
2 - 2
FCB
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
AJA
9 - 1
VOL
85%
10%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
UJP
10 - 2
FLO
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
FLO
2 - 5
UJP
37%
21%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1960 |
UJP
2 - 1
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
6 - 2
UJP
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
UJP
1 - 2
BIR
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |