Ajax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 2
ARS
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 2
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
THU
5 - 1
STG
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
THU
1 - 0
SPA
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 4
THU
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |