Ajax vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
ALM
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 3
LAZ
20%
23%
58%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
AZA
2 - 1
AJA
42%
23%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 2
UTR
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
TEL
3 - 0
HEL
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 2
TEL
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
TEL
2 - 2
BVO
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
JON
3 - 0
TEL
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
TEL
4 - 0
VVV
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |