Ajax vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
PSV
0 - 2
AJA
50%
23%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
AJA
1 - 1
MVV
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
VVD
1 - 2
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
AJA
7 - 0
ELI
81%
13%
7%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
TEL
3 - 1
ELI
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FEY
2 - 1
TEL
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
TEL
1 - 0
TWE
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
TEL
1 - 3
WIL
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
GRO
4 - 2
TEL
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |