Europa League 1/32
Global 3-6
Ajax vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
RKC
3 - 1
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
ZWO
4 - 1
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
AJA
3 - 3
RJC
83%
12%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
SCP
4 - 2
AJA
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
EST
0 - 0
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
SCP
4 - 3
VST
81%
14%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
NAC
0 - 1
SCP
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
SCP
3 - 0
CHA
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
SCP
4 - 2
AJA
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |