Ajax vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GAE
0 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
STR
1 - 4
RBS
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
RBS
6 - 0
GRO
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
WIE
1 - 5
RBS
19%
23%
58%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
WIN
0 - 1
RBS
20%
22%
58%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
RBS
4 - 0
AUS
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |