Ajax vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
AJA
6 - 2
AZA
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
RBK
0 - 0
AJA
44%
24%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
INT
1 - 0
AJA
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SOG
2 - 2
RBK
20%
20%
60%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
RBK
2 - 1
STB
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
RBK
0 - 0
AJA
44%
24%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
BOG
1 - 4
RBK
21%
21%
58%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
LYO
5 - 0
RBK
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |