Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 0
TWE
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 2
AJA
32%
24%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RJC
1 - 1
TWE
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 0
RJC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
RJC
0 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
FEY
2 - 0
RJC
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
FEY
3 - 0
RJC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |