Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
ZUL
0 - 3
AJA
10%
15%
75%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 0
TWE
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 4
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 0
RJC
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
RJC
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
RJC
3 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |