Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
GRO
3 - 2
AJA
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
INT
1 - 0
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
SPA
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ADO
1 - 1
RJC
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
RJC
1 - 1
SPA
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 3
RJC
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
UTR
2 - 1
RJC
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 1
SCH
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |