Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 5
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
5 - 3
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
RJC
0 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
TWE
1 - 3
RJC
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
RJC
4 - 1
ZWO
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 2
RJC
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
RJC
2 - 2
FEY
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |