Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
8 - 1
HJK
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
FEY
4 - 0
AJA
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
AJA
3 - 2
UTR
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
HJK
1 - 8
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 1
EXC
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
RJC
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
RJC
5 - 1
ADO
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
MVV
4 - 1
RJC
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 3
PSV
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |