Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
SPA
1 - 0
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
LAU
0 - 4
AJA
33%
26%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
AJA
0 - 0
FEY
57%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
AJA
1 - 0
LAU
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
RJC
1 - 1
FEY
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
VIT
2 - 5
RJC
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
RJC
2 - 1
VVV
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
PSV
2 - 1
RJC
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
RJC
1 - 1
GAE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |