Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
VVV
2 - 2
AJA
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
AJA
5 - 1
AMS
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
JUV
1 - 1
AJA
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
VOL
1 - 6
AJA
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
AJA
7 - 0
TEL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
RJC
1 - 2
AZA
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
FEY
1 - 1
RJC
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
RJC
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
VIT
2 - 2
RJC
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
RJC
2 - 2
HFC
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |