Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
ADO
1 - 3
AJA
23%
27%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 0
EXC
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
34%
27%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
MVV
0 - 0
AJA
19%
26%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
AJA
3 - 1
ADO
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
RJC
2 - 2
TEL
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
TWE
3 - 2
RJC
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
RJC
1 - 2
EIN
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
AMS
2 - 2
RJC
66%
20%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
RJC
2 - 1
TWE
20%
28%
52%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |