Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.5%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
AJA
0 - 0
STO
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
TEL
1 - 4
AJA
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
STO
1 - 1
AJA
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
RJC
2 - 0
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
AZA
0 - 0
RJC
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
RJC
4 - 2
HFC
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
UTR
1 - 3
RJC
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
RJC
2 - 1
GAE
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |