Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
AZA
0 - 2
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 1
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 2
AJA
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
TWE
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
RKC
1 - 2
TWE
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 1
RKC
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
RKC
0 - 2
FEY
9%
18%
73%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
RKC
0 - 4
AZA
12%
21%
67%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 1
RKC
35%
26%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |