Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
UTR
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
ACM
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
6 - 0
GAE
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RKC
1 - 2
RJC
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 1
RKC
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
RKC
1 - 4
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
RKC
0 - 1
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
4 - 1
RKC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |