Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
MLL
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
HHA
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
VIT
2 - 1
RKC
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
RKC
2 - 1
SPA
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
BOS
0 - 3
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
RKC
3 - 2
BVO
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
RKC
4 - 2
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |