Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
SCH
1 - 4
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
50%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
AJA
7 - 0
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
RKC
1 - 2
ADO
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1990 |
RJC
1 - 0
RKC
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
PSV
3 - 1
RKC
88%
8%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
RKC
5 - 2
SCH
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
FEY
3 - 0
RKC
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |