Ajax vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
6 - 0
VVV
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FEY
6 - 2
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
71%
16%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 4
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 3
RMA
25%
23%
52%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
58%
20%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RMA
3 - 0
ALA
86%
10%
4%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
GIR
1 - 3
RMA
12%
19%
70%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 4
RMA
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |