Ajax vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 0
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
BVV
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 1
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
AUX
2 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
RMA
5 - 1
ATH
85%
10%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMA
11%
20%
69%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
RMA
5 - 1
MUR
88%
9%
3%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATM
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
ACM
2 - 2
RMA
30%
25%
45%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | -1 |