Ajax vs RBC Roosendaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 1
AJA
49%
23%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 1
VCF
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 5
AJA
21%
25%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
RBC Roosendaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
RBC
3 - 1
VIT
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ZWO
1 - 1
RBC
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
RBC
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
RBC
1 - 0
WIL
36%
25%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
RBC
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |