UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 4-5
Ajax vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 0
AJA
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
WOL
29%
24%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
PAN
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 2
DIN
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
RBS
1 - 2
RAP
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
RAP
3 - 0
RIE
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
WEI
1 - 5
RAP
7%
14%
80%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 0
FSV
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |