Ajax vs Rapid JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 5
AJA
25%
21%
54%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 5
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
AJA
7 - 4
FOR
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 5
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
AJA
6 - 1
ELI
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 5
AJA
25%
21%
54%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
GRO
4 - 0
RAP
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 1
SPA
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ADO
2 - 1
RAP
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 1
AZA
58%
20%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |