KNVB Beker Final

Ajax vs PSV analysis

Ajax PSV
88 ELO 89
16.6% Tilt 19.8%
101º General ELO ranking 99º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.1%
Ajax
22.6%
Draw
35.3%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
Ajax
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.3%
Win probability
PSV
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Ajax
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
PSV
PSV
3 - 0
Ajax
AJA
45%
23%
32%
88 88 0 0
16 Apr. 2023
AJA
Ajax
3 - 1
Emmen
FCE
80%
13%
7%
88 72 16 0
09 Apr. 2023
AJA
Ajax
4 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
81%
13%
7%
88 68 20 0
05 Apr. 2023
FEY
Feyenoord
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
45%
23%
32%
88 89 1 0
02 Apr. 2023
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
12%
18%
70%
88 73 15 0

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
PSV
PSV
3 - 0
Ajax
AJA
45%
23%
32%
88 88 0 0
16 Apr. 2023
VOL
FC Volendam
2 - 3
PSV
PSV
14%
19%
67%
88 69 19 0
08 Apr. 2023
PSV
PSV
4 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
80%
13%
7%
88 64 24 0
04 Apr. 2023
SPA
Spakenburg
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
5%
15%
80%
89 50 39 -1
01 Apr. 2023
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 4
PSV
PSV
13%
20%
67%
88 75 13 +1