Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVB
33%
22%
45%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 1
UTR
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 0
BJK
70%
17%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
PSV
1 - 2
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 1
ZWO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
STR
1 - 4
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |