Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
AJA
9%
15%
77%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
FEY
3 - 1
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
FCE
0 - 2
PSV
6%
14%
80%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
80%
15%
6%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
VOL
0 - 2
PSV
11%
18%
72%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |