Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
8%
14%
78%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ADO
2 - 4
AJA
6%
13%
81%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 4
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
4 - 0
ZWO
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 1
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PSV
4 - 1
VVV
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
RKC
1 - 4
PSV
4%
13%
83%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 1
UTR
58%
22%
21%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
PSV
4 - 0
OMO
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |