Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
RMA
1 - 4
AJA
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
FEY
0 - 3
AJA
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VVV
0 - 1
PSV
8%
15%
78%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
84%
12%
4%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
PSV
8%
14%
78%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PSV
1 - 1
FEY
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SCH
2 - 2
PSV
9%
16%
75%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | -1 |