Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
BVO
2 - 1
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
23%
24%
54%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SDL
1 - 1
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 1
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 0
GAE
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 0
FCR
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 0
PSV
12%
20%
68%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
PSV
3 - 1
ADO
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 0
PSV
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |