Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
GAL
2 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
IJS
0 - 3
AJA
11%
18%
70%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BVO
1 - 2
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ACM
0 - 0
AJA
37%
23%
40%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
UTR
1 - 5
PSV
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
PSV
0 - 1
CHO
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 6
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FEY
3 - 1
PSV
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |