Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 3
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 0
AJA
43%
24%
34%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
PSV
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PSV
5 - 1
RKC
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 2
HSV
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PSV
1 - 1
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
HSV
1 - 0
PSV
43%
28%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |