Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
VOL
1 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
60%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
5 - 2
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 0
ZIL
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 3
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
AZA
1 - 0
PSV
39%
28%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 0
PSV
29%
28%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 0
PSV
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ADO
0 - 2
PSV
16%
25%
60%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | +1 |