Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 1
AJA
12%
19%
69%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
6 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 1
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
PSV
3 - 1
SPA
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
VVV
1 - 1
PSV
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
FEY
0 - 1
PSV
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |