Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 0
AZA
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 1
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 0
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PSV
5 - 1
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
23%
26%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 0
PSV
62%
23%
16%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 1
PSV
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |