Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
SPA
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 2
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
RBC
83%
13%
4%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ADO
1 - 2
AJA
17%
20%
63%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
LYO
4 - 0
PSV
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 2
PSV
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2006 |
PSV
0 - 1
LYO
41%
27%
33%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |