Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 1
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
AUX
3 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOS
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 1
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
MON
0 - 2
PSV
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
PSV
6 - 1
FCO
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 3
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |