Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOS
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
PSV
3 - 0
SPA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
PSV
6 - 0
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
20%
24%
55%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
PSV
2 - 0
FEY
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |