Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
AJA
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
AJA
9 - 0
SPA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
GRO
3 - 3
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
RBC
1 - 3
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
PSV
2 - 1
TWE
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
PSV
5 - 1
UTR
74%
15%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2001 |
PSV
0 - 1
KAI
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2001 |
KAI
1 - 0
PSV
38%
25%
38%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
PSV
0 - 0
RJC
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |