Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 1
RJC
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 0
OLP
73%
16%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
NEC
0 - 4
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
AJA
9 - 0
UDI
99%
1%
0%
|
89 | 38 | 51 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1998 |
PSV
3 - 1
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1998 |
KAI
3 - 1
PSV
48%
24%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
PSV
4 - 0
SPA
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
WIL
4 - 2
PSV
25%
23%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |