Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
AJA
7 - 0
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
AJA
3 - 1
VOL
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
27%
26%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
PSV
3 - 1
RKC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
PSV
0 - 0
MPL
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
PSV
4 - 0
ADO
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
SCH
0 - 3
PSV
23%
22%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1990 |
MPL
1 - 0
PSV
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |