Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 3
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
52%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1985 |
AJA
5 - 2
VOL
94%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
RJC
2 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
PSV
2 - 1
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
BOS
2 - 0
PSV
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
PSV
1 - 0
HFC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
52%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 0
PSV
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |