Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
AJA
6 - 1
HFC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
AJA
5 - 5
GRO
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
PSV
5 - 0
GAE
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
FOR
0 - 0
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
PSV
3 - 1
HEL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
FEY
2 - 2
PSV
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
PSV
0 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |