Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 4
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
GRO
2 - 3
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
AJA
9 - 1
ADO
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 3
PSV
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
PSV
4 - 1
GAE
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
PSV
1 - 1
ZWO
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 1
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |