Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
HFC
2 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
TEL
1 - 1
AJA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
AJA
5 - 3
TWE
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
PSV
2 - 0
SPA
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
PSV
1 - 1
ADO
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 2
PSV
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
GAE
1 - 1
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
PSV
4 - 1
FEY
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |