Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
GRA
0 - 0
AJA
22%
24%
53%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
HFC
1 - 4
AJA
16%
25%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 0
SPA
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
PSV
2 - 1
DYN
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
GRA
1 - 1
PSV
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
DYN
3 - 0
PSV
35%
23%
41%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
PSV
1 - 0
TEL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |