Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
5 - 0
HFC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
NAC
2 - 3
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
PSV
10 - 0
GAE
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
PSV
5 - 0
UTR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
HFC
2 - 0
PSV
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
PSV
5 - 1
AZA
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |