Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
6.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
GAE
0 - 1
AJA
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 2
GLA
87%
8%
5%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 1
AMS
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1973 |
GLA
1 - 3
AJA
50%
22%
27%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
HFC
0 - 4
AJA
10%
17%
74%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
PSV
3 - 0
TEL
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
PSV
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRO
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
PSV
0 - 1
FEY
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
NEC
1 - 1
PSV
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |